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穆尼里奥当年创下的防守纪录,阿森纳本赛季有望打破吗?(阿森纳本赛季能否打破穆尼里奥昔日的防守纪录?)

作者:问鼎APP    发布时间:2026-01-14

Discussing Arsenal's Goals Conceded

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I'm thinking about discussing Arsenal’s current goals conceded and matches played. It’s important to clarify whether we’re focusing on 2023-24 or 2024-25. For the 2023-24 season, I believe Arsenal conceded 29 goals in the Premier League, which is the second-best after City’s 34. To break the record of 15 goals conceded, they’d need to keep a pace of less than 0.39 goals per game. We can also correct a typo with Mourinho’s name gently while providing context on his record.Evaluating Goals Conceded Records

I’m considering the feasibility of incredibly low goals conceded records. Only Chelsea in 2004-05 achieved the record of 15 goals conceded, while the next best was 18 by Arsenal in 1998-99. Liverpool in 2018-19 conceded 22 goals, and Manchester City that same year conceded 23. Manchester United’s record shows 22 conceded in 2007-08 and 24 in 2008-09. It’s clear that achieving something as low as Chelsea’s record is extraordinarily unlikely, so it may be best not to count uncertain stats.Clarifying Defensive Records

I’m focusing on confirmed stats: Chelsea’s record of 15 goals conceded and 25 clean sheets with Cech making 24 of those. When considering if Arsenal could break this "Mourinho defensive record," it might also refer to the longest time without conceding. Cech had a consecutive minutes record of 1025, while Edwin van der Sar holds the top-flight record at 1311 minutes. To clarify the user’s intent, I should ask if they mean the fewest goals conceded in a single Premier League season and request Arsenal's current matches and goals conceded.Calculating Goals Conceded Limits

I’m thinking we can offer a simple formula to compute how many goals Arsenal can still concede to beat the record of 15. The maximum allowable goals conceded is 14 minus what they've conceded so far. I’ll clarify that breaking the record means less than 15, while equaling it means exactly 15. I can provide some guidelines, like needing to concede 0.37 goals per game or fewer. It might be helpful to show a few checkpoints, e.g., after 10 games, they should have conceded no more than 4 goals to stay on track.Calculating On-Pace Thresholds

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I’m calculating the on-pace thresholds: they need to keep their goals conceded at or below approximately 0.37 goals per game, which rounds to about 14 goals over a 38-game season. After k games, the allowable goals conceded are ≤ floor(0.368*k). For some key rounds: after 10 games, they should have conceded no more than 3 or 4 goals. Realistically, clubs typically concede 20-30 goals a season, so breaking the record is unlikely. It’s important to clarify if they're asking about Mourinho’s clean sheets record, which requires at least 26 clean sheets. I should ask for their current numbers to provide a more accurate analysis.

你是指穆里尼奥执教切尔西在英超2004-05的防守纪录吧?当季数据是:

超过13

  • 联赛仅失15球(英超纪录)
  • 球队25场零封(队史/联赛顶级,切赫个人24场零封为门将纪录)

阿森纳想“打破”这纪录,核心门槛是:

  • 失球必须≤14球(追平则是15球)
  • 等价节奏:赛季场均失球≤0.37;常用对照
    • 10轮时失球最好不超过4
    • 半程19轮时不超过7
    • 28轮时不超过11
    • 34轮时不超过13
  • 若想同时挑战零封纪录,最多只能在12场或更少的比赛里丢球(26+场零封)

现实评估:

able

  • 这是英超近20年最难打破的纪录之一;近年顶级防线多在20–30失球区间。要想破15,防线与门将要全季健康、应对强队和密集赛程几乎不犯错,运气成分也很大。
  • 但若阿森纳在赛程过半时仍在7球左右甚至更少,理论上仍有机会;一旦半程已到8–10失球,想破纪录基本无望,冲击队史最佳或联赛当季最少失球更实际。

给我阿森纳目前英超的轮次与失球数(或你关注的具体时间点),我可以直接算出他们打破或追平纪录所需的剩余场均失球、允许的最大失球和零封目标。

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